Toronto's
Prediction Market
Community.
Builders, traders, and forecasters shaping information markets. Meetups, research, and the people running them — out of Toronto.
Last Event.
In Conversation With Dr. Robin Hanson.
Wed · July 22, 2026 · 7:00–9:00 PM ET
Toronto
Robin Hanson joined us to talk about prediction markets and futarchy, and how they could help people make decisions.
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Stay connected on community events and updates
What We Do.
Building Toronto's prediction market ecosystem — meetup by meetup.
Community Events
Regular meetups, workshops, and hackathons for prediction market enthusiasts.
Market Insights
Curated Canadian prediction markets and analysis from leading platforms.
Network
Connect with builders, traders, researchers, and investors in the space.
Education
Learn about prediction markets, forecasting, and information aggregation.
Build Together
Collaborate on projects and tools for the prediction market ecosystem.
Global Connections
Part of a worldwide network of prediction market communities.
Media.
What people are saying about PredictTO.
Posts on X
Austin Weiler
I was invited to present my Polymarket research at the PredictTO meetup. Incredible turnout and energy in the room.
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Community Member
Great turnout at the PredictTO prediction markets meetup in Toronto. The future of forecasting is here.
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Athika Fatima
I went to PredictTO's meetup knowing something about prediction markets and left with a completely new perspective on how information markets work.
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Paola Marie Santiago
Amazing event by PredictTO! Learned so much about prediction markets and the future of forecasting in Canada.
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Paola Marie Santiago
PredictTO x AgenticAI x TruthTensor — the intersection of prediction markets and AI agents is happening right here in Toronto.
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RS Chan
Thanks everyone for making our first PredictTO event a huge success! Amazing community energy and incredible conversations.
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Resources.
Foundational papers, primers, essays. From Hanson to Buterin to ACX.
Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?
Robin Hanson · 2013
The foundational futarchy paper. Hanson’s proposal: democracies should vote on what they want, then let prediction markets choose the policies most likely to get them there.
From Prediction Markets to Info Finance
Vitalik Buterin · 2024
Buterin reframes prediction markets as the first instance of a broader category — info finance — and maps out where the design space goes next.
Prediction Markets
Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz · 2004
The canonical survey in the Journal of Economic Perspectives. How simple markets aggregate dispersed information into forecasts that beat most benchmarks.
Logarithmic Market Scoring Rules
Robin Hanson · 2007
The market-design paper behind LMSR — the automated market maker that powers most modern prediction markets, including Augur and many DeFi implementations.
Futarchy: Vote Values, But Bet Beliefs
Robin Hanson
Hanson’s short, readable primer on futarchy. A good starting point before diving into the full paper.
Prediction Market FAQ
Scott Alexander · 2022
A clear-eyed FAQ on why prediction markets work, where they fail, and what’s blocking adoption — written for smart generalists, not economists.
A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy
Robin Hanson · 2009
The counterintuitive result: attempts to manipulate prediction markets tend to make them more accurate, because manipulators subsidize informed traders.
Prediction Markets for Beginners
predictionmarket.tools
A practical getting-started guide with platform comparisons (Polymarket, Kalshi, and others) and the tools traders use day-to-day.
Overcoming Bias
Robin Hanson
Hanson’s long-running blog. Decades of thinking on prediction markets, decision markets, and institutional design — still actively updated.
Metaculus
Metaculus
A forecasting platform and research site with 12+ years of public track record. Useful both as a primary source on crowd accuracy and as a place to practice.
Got a paper or essay that belongs here?
Suggest a Resource →Canadian Markets.
Curated prediction markets on Canadian politics, economics, and culture — pulled from Polymarket, Kalshi, and others.
Media Kit.
Logos, palette, and event photos. Free to use with credit.
[ Palette ]
Brand Red
#dc2626
Cream
#fafafa
Near Black
#0a0a0a
Warm Border
#2a2a26
[ Wordmark ]
Predict in red, TO in cream. Geist Sans bold.
[ Event Photos ]
Photos from past meetups. Free to use with credit to PredictTO.
Open Transmission.
Speakers, sponsors, builders — send a packet.