Toronto's
Prediction Market
Community.
Builders, traders, and forecasters shaping information markets. Meetups, research, and the people running them — out of Toronto.
[ Transmission · Mailing List ]
Stay on Frequency.
Event notices, market notes, community signal. No spam, no marketing fluff.
[ Field Operations · Sector 01 ]
What We Do.
Building Toronto's prediction market ecosystem — meetup by meetup.
[ 01 ]
Community Events
Regular meetups, workshops, and hackathons for prediction market enthusiasts.
[ 02 ]
Market Insights
Curated Canadian prediction markets and analysis from leading platforms.
[ 03 ]
Network
Connect with builders, traders, researchers, and investors in the space.
[ 04 ]
Education
Learn about prediction markets, forecasting, and information aggregation.
[ 05 ]
Build Together
Collaborate on projects and tools for the prediction market ecosystem.
[ 06 ]
Global Connections
Part of a worldwide network of prediction market communities.
[ Field Reports · Past Operations ]
Previous Events.
Packed rooms, sharp presentations, real conversations. Here's the proof.
[ Signal · Press · Public Record ]
Media.
What people are saying about PredictTO.
[ Posts on X ]
[ LinkedIn ]
Austin Weiler
I was invited to present my Polymarket research at the PredictTO meetup. Incredible turnout and energy in the room.
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Community Member
Great turnout at the PredictTO prediction markets meetup in Toronto. The future of forecasting is here.
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Athika Fatima
I went to PredictTO's meetup knowing something about prediction markets and left with a completely new perspective on how information markets work.
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Paola Marie Santiago
Amazing event by PredictTO! Learned so much about prediction markets and the future of forecasting in Canada.
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Paola Marie Santiago
PredictTO x AgenticAI x TruthTensor — the intersection of prediction markets and AI agents is happening right here in Toronto.
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RS Chan
Thanks everyone for making our first PredictTO event a huge success! Amazing community energy and incredible conversations.
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[ Library · Open Source · Reading List ]
Resources.
Foundational papers, primers, essays. From Hanson to Buterin to ACX.
Shall We Vote on Values, But Bet on Beliefs?
Robin Hanson · 2013
The foundational futarchy paper. Hanson’s proposal: democracies should vote on what they want, then let prediction markets choose the policies most likely to get them there.
From Prediction Markets to Info Finance
Vitalik Buterin · 2024
Buterin reframes prediction markets as the first instance of a broader category — info finance — and maps out where the design space goes next.
Prediction Markets
Justin Wolfers & Eric Zitzewitz · 2004
The canonical survey in the Journal of Economic Perspectives. How simple markets aggregate dispersed information into forecasts that beat most benchmarks.
Logarithmic Market Scoring Rules
Robin Hanson · 2007
The market-design paper behind LMSR — the automated market maker that powers most modern prediction markets, including Augur and many DeFi implementations.
Futarchy: Vote Values, But Bet Beliefs
Robin Hanson
Hanson’s short, readable primer on futarchy. A good starting point before diving into the full paper.
Prediction Market FAQ
Scott Alexander · 2022
A clear-eyed FAQ on why prediction markets work, where they fail, and what’s blocking adoption — written for smart generalists, not economists.
A Manipulator Can Aid Prediction Market Accuracy
Robin Hanson · 2009
The counterintuitive result: attempts to manipulate prediction markets tend to make them more accurate, because manipulators subsidize informed traders.
Prediction Markets for Beginners
predictionmarket.tools
A practical getting-started guide with platform comparisons (Polymarket, Kalshi, and others) and the tools traders use day-to-day.
Overcoming Bias
Robin Hanson
Hanson’s long-running blog. Decades of thinking on prediction markets, decision markets, and institutional design — still actively updated.
Metaculus
Metaculus
A forecasting platform and research site with 12+ years of public track record. Useful both as a primary source on crowd accuracy and as a place to practice.
Got a paper or essay that belongs here?
Suggest a Resource →[ Telemetry · CA Markets · Live ]
Canadian Markets.
Curated prediction markets on Canadian politics, economics, and culture — pulled from Polymarket, Kalshi, and others.
[ Brand Assets · Press · Partners ]
Media Kit.
Logos, palette, and event photos. Free to use with credit.
[ Palette ]
Brand Red
#dc2626
Cream
#fafafa
Near Black
#0a0a0a
Warm Border
#2a2a26
[ Wordmark ]
Predict in red, TO in cream. Geist Sans bold.
[ Event Photos ]
High-res shots from past operations. Free to use with credit to PredictTO.
[ Open Channel · Direct Contact ]
Open Transmission.
Speakers, sponsors, builders — send a packet.